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bliplog: blog serwisu blip » Spełniamy przedwyborcze obietnice! blip

Spełniamy przedwyborcze obietnice!

Marcin Jagodziński | 21-11-2007

Dawno, dawno temu, tuż przed ostatnimi wyborami, zorganizowaliśmy na Blipie konkurs. Przypomnę, że polegał on na typowaniu:

  1. Wyników wyborów parlamentarnych
  2. Preferencji wyborczych blipowiczów

Czyli trzeba było podać, ile procent głosów zdobędzie, który komitet i jak (według deklaracji) głosowali blipowicze (przy okazji zbieraliśmy ich deklaracje).

Uwaga, uwaga, ogłaszam wyniki!

Ale zanim to nastąpi, powiem jak były one liczone. Teraz trochę dla osób z wyobraźnią. Otóż zastosowałem pomiar odległości. Jest osiem komitetów (7 ogólnopolskich + 1 “pozostałe”). Każdy podawał ile % osiągnie dany komitet, czyli podawał 8 cyfr. Wyznacza to współrzędne punktu w przestrzeni ośmiowymiarowej. Podobnie prawdziwe wyniki wyborów, też wyznaczają punkt. I wystarczy, że zmierzymy odległość między tymi dwoma punktami i wiemy, jak kto celnie trafił. Wystarczy siedmiowymiarowa linijka ;-)

Wyniki:

  1. W kategorii “typowanie wyników wyborów” wygrał… bartekr!
  2. W kategorii “typowanie preferencji blipowiczów wygrała… zefiryna… ale tu musimy trochę zamieszać z wynikami. Tak się bowiem składa, że użytkowniczka zefiryna w realu nazywa się całkiem inaczej, a na dodatek jest moją żoną :-) W związku z powyższym, nagrodę otrzymuje osoba, która podała drugi najlepszy rezultat, czyli… domelu

Nagrodami są bony Empiku wartości 100 zł.

Kilka ciekawostek związanych z konkursem:

  • Zefiryna była pierwsza także w klasyfikacji łącznej (czyli “średnio” najmniej pomyliła się typując obie kategorie). Drugi był domelu
  • Prawie wszyscy podali prawidłową kolejność pierwszych 3 komitetów
  • Średnio dużo lepiej typowano wyniki wyborów, niż preferencje blipowiczów
  • Najczęstszym błędem było przeszacowanie wyników partii, które w ogóle do parlamentu nie weszły

Mamy też nagrodę pocieszenia. Otrzymuje ją alex. Czym na nią zasłużył? Otóż sumarycznie typował najgorzej. Bon na 50 zł dla Ciebie, alex.

I jeszcze tabelka z wynikami. Z niej dowiecie się, jak w wyborach głosowali blipowicze.

  LPR PSL PPP LiD PiS Samoobrona PO pozostałe
Wyniki wyborów 1,30 8,91 1,00 13,15 32,11 1,53 41,51 0,50
Typowanie: bartekr 3,00 7,00 0,00 14,00 33,00 2,00 40,00 1,00
Preferencje blipowiczów 0,00 1,70 0,00 23,73 5,09 0,00 69,50 0,00
Typowanie: zefiryna 0,00 2,00 2,00 20,00 4,00 1,00 70,00 1,00
Typowanie: domelu 0,00 1,00 0,00 30,00 5,00 0,00 64,00 0,00

Zwycięzcom gratuluję i sugeruję karierę w ośrodkach badania opinii publicznej!

Komentarze (2) »

  1. chyba jednak zagram w totolotka :)

    bronek — 21-11-2007 @ 12:17

  2. Bartek chyba miał jakieś dane lub oszukał zmieniając dane po ich wysłaniu ;)

    rybomar — 22-11-2007 @ 12:00

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